Open Claw Development Request

Project: Open Claw

Development Specification for Aneep Tandel

Client: Levenstein.net Date: March 25, 2026

1. Mission Objective & "Agentic" Shift

The goal is to develop "Open Claw"—a proprietary, agentic AI monitoring system designed to detect and exploit mispriced risk between professional options markets and decentralized prediction markets.

The Dual Requirement:

Autonomous Agent: An underlying "brain" that constantly scans, notifies, and prepares trades based on real-time dynamic data.
Public Web Interface: The system must display this matrix of opportunities through a dedicated live webpage on levenstein.net.

Example Agent Output (Web UI Preview)

AGENT ACTIVE Last Scan: 2s ago

ETH Target Alert

HIGH SIGNAL

Polymarket pricing for "ETH Above $4,200" is $0.41. Deribit Options Chain implies a 54.2% Probability.

Detected VD

13.2%

Est. Multiple

2.44x

2. The Problem: Speed & Accuracy Gaps

Current general-purpose LLMs (like Gemini) are insufficient for this strategy because they fail to assimilate real-time market data instantly and are prone to hallucinations.

Example Comparison Report

Metric	Standard LLM	Open Claw Agent
Data Recency	15+ Minutes Lag	< 5 Seconds
Strike Price Accuracy	Hallucinates/Blurs	Exact Match (Deribit API)
VD Detection	Misses 40% of Spikes	100% Signal Capture

3. Data Sourcing: Professional vs. Retail

Professional (The Source of Truth)

Deribit: Primary source for BTC/ETH greeks.
CME: Validation for institutional flow.

Raw Data Sample

ETH-26MAR26-4200-C
IV: 72.4% | Delta: 0.54
Implied Prob: 54.2%

Prediction (The Lagging Market)

Polymarket: Primary target.
Kalshi: Secondary targets.

PM Price Sample

Event: ETH > $4,200
Price (Yes): $0.41
Market Prob: 41.0%

4. Value Discrepancy (VD) Logic

VD is detected when the Professional Prob exceeds the PM Price by a significant margin.

The "Asymmetric Payout" Requirement:

Must identify high statistical probability + massive payout potential (2x+).

Example VD Calculation Report

Professional Prob (Deribit): 62%

Polymarket Price: $0.28 (Implies 28%)

VD Spread: +34% (Significant Underpricing)

Implied Payout: $1.00 / $0.28 = 3.57x Multiple

Result: STRONG SIGNAL (Exceeds 2x threshold)

5. Opportunity Matrix & API Execution

Live Matrix formatting for the levenstein.net page:

Mock Live Matrix (Levenstein.net UI)

Asset	Target	Deribit %	PM Price	Payout	Action
BTC	> $75k	68%	$0.32	3.1x
ETH	> $4.5k	12%	$0.45	2.2x (NO)

6. Historical Logging & 100-Trade Tracker

Record of performance to reach the 100-trade vetting requirement.

Sample Log Entry (End-of-Day Report)

Date/Time	Trade	VD At Entry	Result	Final Payout
Mar 24, 14:10	BTC > $71k (No)	22% Diff	Win	3.2x
Mar 24, 16:45	ETH > $4k (Yes)	15% Diff	Loss	$0.00

Track Record Progress: 14 / 100 Trades Completed

7. Compliance & Next Steps

KYC Readiness: Corporate account status check.
Exemplar Framework: Mirror formatting of indojackcoffee.com/openclaw.

Project Status Checklist

Deribit API Integrated
VD Calculation Logic v1
Polymarket API Execution
Levenstein.net Live Matrix UI