Strategic Crypto Yield & Contango Architecture

Strategic Crypto Yield & Contango Architecture

Consolidated Strategic Alpha Report | December 2025

Levenstein.net Investment Committee

1. Executive Strategy Overview

1.1 The Strategic Mandate

The objective of this comprehensive analysis is to operationalize a hybrid yield-generation strategy defined explicitly as a "Half Contango / Half Covered Call" structure. This mandate seeks to construct a sophisticated portfolio that generates dual-source income—harvesting the futures basis (contango) and the options volatility risk premium (VRP)—while maintaining a net positive Delta.

This strategic positioning is fundamentally distinct from pure delta-neutral arbitrage (Cash and Carry) or simple passive holding. It is an active, structured product approach designed to capture the structural inefficiencies of the crypto derivatives market while retaining exposure to the underlying asset’s appreciation potential.

1.2 Core Findings

  • Dual Yield Sources: The strategy harvests yield from two distinct market inefficiencies: the tendency of futures to trade at a premium (Contango) and the overpricing of implied volatility in options (VRP).
  • Net Positive Delta: By allocating 50% to a delta-neutral basis trade and 50% to a directional covered call, the fund targets a Delta coefficient of roughly 0.35. This allows for capital appreciation during bull markets while buffering drawdowns.
  • Institutional Execution: To execute this effectively, the fund requires "Portfolio Margin" (PM) capabilities to cross-margin the two legs against a single collateral pool. Deribit and OKX emerge as the primary venues capable of this specific architecture.

2. Theoretical Framework & Mechanics

2.1 The Split Allocation Model

To execute the strategy with institutional precision, the Assets Under Management (AuM) are effectively split into two functional legs that share a common collateral pool.

Leg A: The Basis Capture (Contango)

Action: Hold Underlying Asset (Long) + Sell Dated Future (Short).

Yield Source: The convergence of the Futures Price to the Spot Price at expiration. This "basis" is locked in at execution.

Delta: Neutral (0). The long spot is perfectly offset by the short future.

Leg B: Volatility Harvest (Covered Call)

Action: Hold Underlying Asset (Long) + Sell OTM Call Option.

Yield Source: Decay of Extrinsic Value (Theta) and Volatility Risk Premium (VRP).

Delta: Positive (~0.7). The long spot is only partially offset by the short call delta (-0.3).

2.2 Mathematical Delta Construction

The "Net Positive Delta" requirement is achieved through the weighted average of the two legs. For a hypothetical $10,000,000 allocation:

Component Notional Position Structure Net Delta
Leg 1 (Contango) $5,000,000 Long Spot (+1) / Short Future (-1) 0 (Neutral)
Leg 2 (Covered Call) $5,000,000 Long Spot (+1) / Short Call (-0.3) +0.70
Total Portfolio $10,000,000 Combined Architecture ~0.35

2.3 The Necessity of Portfolio Margin

Without Portfolio Margin (PM), exchanges view the Short Future and Short Call as independent liabilities, requiring separate collateral. This causes massive capital drag.

In a PM environment (offered by Deribit/OKX), the risk engine recognizes that the Long Spot asset covers the risk for both the futures and the calls. This netting reduces maintenance margin to <10%, maximizing Return on Equity (ROE).

3. Asset Opportunities & Rankings

3.1 Ranked Opportunities

Based on current research into annualized contango rates, liquidity, and volatility premiums, the following assets are ranked for this specific strategy:

1

DOGE (Dogecoin)

Why: High volatility drives elevated contango (10-25% annualized historically). Strong liquidity on Binance allows for both legs of the trade.

2

XRP (Ripple)

Why: Shows bursts of high basis (>2% short-term, 8-20% annualized). Available on CME and Binance, though options liquidity can be fragmented.

3

SOL (Solana)

Why: The "Super-Carry" candidate. Compelling rates (10-20%) with excellent DeFi/CeFi overlap on Deribit and OKX.

4

BTC & ETH (The Majors)

Why: Reliability. Consistent 5-15% yields in bull markets with massive liquidity. The "Foundation" of the portfolio.

3.2 The "SOL Super-Carry" Opportunity

Solana represents a unique sweet spot for this strategy. Historically, SOL maintains a higher funding/basis rate than BTC due to its volatility profile.

  • Strategy: Deposit SOL on OKX or Deribit.
  • Leg 1: Sell 50% notional in Annual Futures (locks in ~12%+ yield).
  • Leg 2: Sell 50% notional in OTM Calls (SOL IV trades 10-15 points higher than BTC).
  • Result: A "Super-Carry" portfolio that outperforms standard staking yields significantly while retaining upside exposure.

3.3 Detailed Contango Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC): During strong bullish phases, BTC quarterly futures have traded at 15–30% annualized premiums. In balanced markets, 5–10% is typical.

Ethereum (ETH): ETH basis often exceeds 10% annualized during upgrades or ETF inflows. On platforms like Deribit, funds can use stETH (Staked ETH) as collateral, allowing for a "Double Dip" of Staking Yield (~3%) + Contango Yield (~8%) + Option Premium.

Section Contents

4. Comparative Yield Data & Instrument Matrix

The following matrix consolidates historic and estimated current yields across key assets and venues. Note the distinction between "Inverse" (Coin-Margined) and "Linear" (Stablecoin-Margined) contracts, which dictates collateral requirements.

Exchange Crypto Contract Type Instrument Historic Yields (Ann.) IV Context Current Est. Yield
Binance DOGE Linear / Coin-M Future 10-25% High Volatility ~15-20%
Binance / CME XRP Linear Future 8-20% (Bursts >50%) Spike Prone 8-15%
Deribit / OKX SOL Inverse (Coin-M) Future 10-50% (Spikes) Very High 10-20%
Deribit SOL Inverse (Coin-M) Option (Cov. Call) N/A +10-15pts vs BTC 10-20% (VRP)
Binance BNB Linear Future 5-15% Ecosystem Tied 5-10%
Deribit / OKX ETH Inverse Future/Option 10-25% Moderate 5-12%
Deribit / CME BTC Inverse Future/Option 15-32% (Bull) Stable Base 5-10%

*Yields are estimates based on Q3/Q4 2025 market conditions and historical averages provided in strategy documents.

5. Venue & Execution Landscape

5.1 Centralized Exchanges (CEX)

Deribit

Gold Standard

Best For: Institutional execution of the full strategy. Unparalleled Portfolio Margin system allows native coin-margining for BTC, ETH, and SOL.

Binance

Liquidity Leader

Best For: The "Contango Leg" specifically. Often has the highest basis due to retail flow. Less efficient for options due to USDT-margined dominance.

OKX

Hybrid Contender

Best For: Altcoin strategies. Offers unified account structures that support native coin-margin for a wider variety of assets than Deribit.

5.2 Decentralized Protocols (DeFi)

While CEXs dominate liquidity, DeFi offers non-custodial alternatives. Zeta Markets (Solana) and Aevo (Ethereum L2) are the closest functional equivalents, supporting dated futures and options on-chain. However, liquidity fragmentation often limits position sizing for institutional funds >$1M.

5.3 Comparative Matrix

Feature Deribit Binance OKX
Primary Asset Class Options & Futures Futures Dominant Options & Futures
SOL Support High (Native PM) High (Futures Only) High (Native PM)
Dated Futures Quarterly, Bi-Annual Quarterly Weekly, Quarterly
Strategic Verdict #1 Choice #1 for Liquidity Strong Alternative

6. Risks & Operational Roadmap

6.1 Strategic Scenario Management

  • Basis Inversion (Backwardation) as Opportunity: Rather than a risk, backwardation represents a tactical profit-taking window. If futures prices drop below spot (inversion), the short futures position becomes immediately profitable.
    Strategic Response: Exit the position early to realize the profit. If yields are inverted at the start of a quarter, the fund remains in USDT until positive contango returns.
  • Assignment Risk & The "Monty Hall" Variable: We accept the probability of capped upside (e.g., winning 4/5 times) as a calculated trade-off in a "Monty Hall" type scenario.
    Strategic Response: Leveraging AI to analyze Greek variables, we actively manage assignment risk by rolling to higher-strike options with sophisticated information, effectively cutting opportunity losses. (See Levenstein.net Media).

6.2 Implementation Roadmap

  1. Venue Selection: Establish a Portfolio Margin account on Deribit (Primary) and OKX (Secondary/Diversification).
  2. Collateral Deployment: Deposit base assets (BTC, ETH, SOL). Avoid holding stablecoins to maintain full asset exposure.
  3. Leg 1 Execution (Contango): Use TWAP algorithms to sell Quarterly Futures (50% of notional).
  4. Leg 2 Execution (Volatility): Sell OTM Call Options (50% of notional) targeting a 0.30 Delta.
  5. Ongoing Management: Monitor "Net Delta." If the market rallies, roll calls up to restore positive delta exposure.

© 2025 Levenstein.net Investment Committee. Internal Strategic Document.